The Anatomy of Hon Tambuwal's Defection

The News of the defection of the speaker of the house of representative,RT Hon,Aminu Tambuwal got to me late on the 28th of oct 2014,I immediately picked up my phone to confirm this News,and the first update I saw,was from a big brother who doubles as a mentor,and A lover of the APC,where he wrote on his BBM personal message "The APC now has the 4th citizen of the country in its fold" this made me take it upon myself to express my self concerning the speaker's defection and to examine the pros and cons of his defection to the opposition party the APC.
Firstly,I will like to express my view about HON Tambuwal's personality,to the best of my knowledge,hon tambuwal is a man of integrity and dignity, an exemplary legislator who understands his political ways well. I must however confess,that this recent move from him is ill timed and mal-calculated (if I'm permitted to use such word),considering his current position in the country,and the proximity of his defection to the 2015 elections.
Also,for obvious reasons,which is clear to the blind and loud enough for the deaf,he cannot contest for the presidency under the platform of the APC nor be presented as the party's candidate,considering the work General Buhari has done so far and Atiku Abubakar and not forgetting kwankwanso,in order to emerge as the party's presidential candidate,thus in the light of this, Hon Tambuwal getting the APC presidential ticket is close to an Impossibility.
It is also worthy of note that,Sokoto state in the Northwest, where Hon Tambuwal is from,is a Stronghold of the PDP,even if he is given the APC's ticket to contest as governor of Sokoto State come 2015,his chances of Wining in the state is very slim if not impossible.
Before I drop my pen on this issue,it is pertinent to note that,The PDP had already counted out Hon Tambuwal as a member of the PDP for the past 6 months looking at his romance with The APC and his silence on party politics, they were only waiting for his official defection from the party,which means the PDP was fully prepared for his defection,and it never took them aback when it eventually happened. this is Evident in the Stop and Search carried out by security operatives on Hon tambuwal's convoy some months back in Abuja,this was done by PDP in my opinion, to show him how powerful the PDP is,and the imminent trouble his defection holds for him.
In this light,I strongly opine that,Hon tambuwal's political career May be heading for the rocks after this defection,considering the surrounding circumstances aforementioned,like a learning friend rightly said,"he is not getting anything positive out of the defection,rather than being called a former speaker".
I wish Hon. Tambuwal well in his political stay in the APC,and i await more intriguing stories as we all Anticipate the 2015 general elections.
Long live NIGERIA!
Aregbesola olayinka N.